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A computer program designed for calculations has determined Nottingham Forest’s destiny in the Premier League following a four-point deduction imposed by the league. The team, known as the Reds, received this penalty from an impartial committee due to violations of the Premier League’s Profitability and Sustainability Rules (PSR). Nottingham Forest has contested this ruling by filing an appeal. On the other hand, Everton, a team also competing against relegation, faced double penalties and lost a total of eight points.

At the moment, Forest is tied for 17th place on points with Luton Town, who are one spot lower, while Everton is just two points above the drop zone. With six games remaining, Nuno Espirito Santo’s club can stave relegation from the Premier League.


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Grosvenor Sport’s artificial intelligence simulator predicts that the disputed four-point deduction, which Nottingham Forest is currently appealing, could be the deciding factor between avoiding relegation and facing it. This simulator analyzes various factors such as current performance, historical data, future match outcomes, expected goals (xG), and in-game performances.

After conducting over 5,000 simulations to determine the most probable outcome of the final Premier League standings in May, the forecast suggests that Luton Town will likely remain in the Premier League if Forest’s appeal is unsuccessful.

The Premier League has set May 24 as the deadline to resolve the appeals from both Forest and Everton. Despite this, the simulator indicates that Everton is anticipated to finish in 16th place, just two spots lower than where they would likely finish without the points deduction.

Luton is forecasted to secure a total of 30 points, potentially setting a new record low for a team narrowly avoiding relegation. The previous record was held by West Bromwich Albion during the 2004/05 season, with 34 points.

At the top of the table, Arsenal is predicted to clinch the championship title for the first time since the 2003/04 season, narrowly surpassing Liverpool on goal difference. This outcome would mark Jurgen Klopp’s final season with Liverpool. Consequently, Manchester City is expected to miss out on securing a historic fourth consecutive title, trailing behind Arsenal and Liverpool by just one point.

In other predictions, Tottenham is favored to secure the fourth position, with a three-point advantage over Aston Villa.

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